Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.347816 16.166626 18.143346 20.453805 23.083541 25.987280 29.441743
2025-03-09 11.391208 13.820331 16.676403 20.293183 24.766802 30.138685 37.108075
2025-03-16 9.406103 12.125362 15.536695 20.154925 26.281523 34.182196 45.226508
2025-03-23 8.291949 11.257951 15.191827 20.834783 28.793334 39.722912 56.052120
2025-03-30 7.251962 10.291279 14.519220 20.894714 30.378116 44.140304 65.947998
2025-04-06 6.294894 9.281622 13.611957 20.433381 31.066775 47.270624 74.333515
2025-04-13 5.561635 8.486035 12.886377 20.096827 31.825077 50.513312 83.273069
2025-04-20 5.158516 8.129916 12.761198 20.640859 33.991247 56.200274 97.005426
2025-04-27 4.836760 7.855608 12.717754 21.286789 36.373673 62.515818 112.748334
2025-05-04 4.492782 7.500484 12.492600 21.580961 38.161545 68.003130 127.801924
2025-05-11 4.074515 6.971759 11.912040 21.172961 38.621046 71.126470 138.812361
2025-05-18 3.713601 6.502670 11.380655 20.780774 39.039800 74.192062 150.129429
2025-05-25 3.398297 6.091589 10.925064 20.505586 39.706013 77.941805 163.741804
2025-06-01 3.151781 5.781478 10.622366 20.489150 40.887780 82.905127 180.862149
2025-06-08 2.924257 5.483270 10.309815 20.414126 41.938431 87.745901 198.578657
2025-06-15 2.812107 5.393767 10.386705 21.133496 44.751093 96.759478 227.606500
2025-06-22 2.639536 5.167401 10.168553 21.207890 46.167906 102.878924 250.781922
2025-06-29 2.430257 4.846368 9.725581 20.745052 46.313603 106.092805 267.236183
2025-07-06 2.254270 4.576340 9.359749 20.405589 46.689995 109.885856 285.861553
2025-07-13 2.173562 4.497916 9.389575 20.959821 49.255274 119.388614 321.741385
2025-07-20 2.106453 4.441780 9.460933 21.617056 52.160487 130.189274 363.446799
2025-07-27 2.015425 4.324627 9.385552 21.916393 54.208580 139.081253 401.432827
2025-08-03 1.879106 4.094263 9.033094 21.501688 54.360273 142.923725 424.967408